Estland, Letland og Litauen

I think You are over-interpretating this. It is more that Medvedev is sending up a "test balloon" - which was shot down with a "don't even think about it"! The problem is that the ports of Russia in the Baltic can be mined in a day, so no Russian ships can leave port - and the Russian oil export is blocked in the Baltic as well. Denmark is quite capable of doing it.
There was an incident that went totally unnoticed as it was only published on the Danish Defense website, and nobody reads Danish Defense proclamations as they usually covers earth shattering news as new pattern of shoe laces for the boots.

What happened was: The Great Belt was close for some hours due to a "malfunction" in the Harpoon missiles on board a frigate - that was lifted the same day.


The other indicator is that some months ago a B-52 flew over Estonia at very low level - so it would definately be notices by the Russians. Now the B-52's main role is not to carry nuclear bombs (they would not survive as bombers against any sort of air defense for 3 minutes) - the main role of the B-52 is mining in low level BEFORE a shooting war starts. The B-52's are not only kept in service, but is being reengined with modern engines and not the crappy old JT3D that has been canibalised from all sorts of planes. That could have gone on for ever, as B-52's don't fly very much. In my interpretation the re-engining was made because the modern engines have a much better fuel economy - hence a better unrefuelled range. This new range would mean that the US could fly unannounced from USA not stopping for fuel either by tanker or landing - place a stick of mines in the path of any Russian ships leaving port - and the ports of Khaliningrad and Sct. Petersburg would stop being sea ports.

So China and Russia should not get to chummy. Both the Russians and the Chinese KNOW that - even in case their intelligence network was still fast asleep.

The message was clear. Now the jerk (Medvedev) finds out - he is not the sharpest tool in the shed (even when he isn't intoxicated) - that we really don't care what Russia thinks and wants.

The whole "shell-shortage" comedy is just a play for time to get production moving - and Sweden is expanding their production facilities and working in 3 shifts. The other point is that the real way to avoid shell shortage (which occurs in ANY war) is actually hitting the target from a safe distance. That is why Sweden has donated 8 Archer to Ukraine for field trials - and they seem to be working fine. So now (I guess) mass production will start in Sweden. The Archer moves more than it shoots. So it can drive back for a reload, thus cutting out a link in the supply chain. Trust me: A battery of Archer on each side of the Gulf of Finland - and the Russians won't have a navy - merchant and otherwise.

1. Det er altid et problem op til en krig, hvor alle opruster. Der kommer senere en branchemodning.
2. En stor del af Letland er sump - held og lykke med at få bjerget en 70 tons Leopard 2 op en sump, den er kørt fast i.
3. Der er ikke så meget andet at gøre, hvis de store leverandører ikke kan levere indenfor en overskuelig fremtid. Alle skal have udskiftet deres materiel samtidig.